📊 Nifty Expiry Week Algo Performance (18th Feb 2026 – 24th Feb 2026)

:date: 18th Feb 2026 – 24th Feb 2026

VIX rising from 12.65 → 14.15 tells the real story.
This was a stress week for structured premium sellers.

Last week was about dispersion.

This week was about pressure.

As I reviewed the dashboards, one pattern was obvious:

Rising volatility exposed weak positioning.

This wasn’t a crash week.
But it was uncomfortable for many structured systems.


:compass: Market Snapshot

  • Nifty 50: 25,752 → 25,424

  • Bank Nifty: 61,255 → 61,047

  • India VIX: 12.65 → 14.15

  • Nifty drifted lower through the week

  • Bank Nifty lost momentum

  • VIX expanded sharply

:warning: Rising VIX =
• Premium instability
• Wider swings
• Higher adjustment pressure

This was not a smooth theta week.


:blue_circle: Credit Spread Performance (High Dispersion & Stress)

Strategy Weekly Return
Damper Credit Spread +11.12%
Delta-Rotation Credit Spread Expiry +8.27%
Warp-Drive Credit Spread Exit-Early +6.65%
Curvature Credit Spread Overnight +5.99%
Gamma-Fluxer Credit Spread Overnight +5.66%
Delta-Ripple Credit Spread Overnight +5.01%
Mathematician’s Credit Spread +1.20%

:warning: Major Drawdowns

Strategy Weekly Return
Vega-Shift Credit Spread Expiry -21.83%
Theta-Flux Credit Spread Overnight -21.04%
Wave Return Credit Spread Overnight -15.83%
Delta-Shift Credit Spread Expiry -15.35%
IV-Imbalance Credit Spread Overnight -13.64%
Ratio-Weave Credit Spread Expiry -11.83%
Delta-Leverage Credit Spread Overnight -9.12%
Hamilton’s Credit Spread -9.58%
Drifting Credit Spread Overnight -8.17%
Equinox Credit Spread Overnight -7.58%
Ratio-Return Credit Spread Exit-Early -6.29%

Flat / Minor Moves:

  • Ratio-Fluxer Credit Spread Expiry: 0.00%

  • Ratio-Hunter2 Credit Spread: —

  • Super Entropy Credits: -2.89%

  • Convex Credit Spread Overnight: -1.08%

  • Curve-Whisper Credit Spread Overnight: -1.34%

  • Chain-Sync Credit Spread Overnight: -2.41%

Credit spreads were highly divided:

  • Adaptive & fast-adjusting systems survived.

  • Static or volatility-sensitive structures struggled heavily.

This was a volatility regime stress test.


:orange_circle: Short Strangle Performance

Strategy Weekly Return
Compressed Strangle +2.11%
Flux Strangle +2.05%
Theta-Zone Strangle +0.83%
Premium-Zone Strangle +0.39%
Expiry Short Strangle +0.18%
Carry Forward Strangle -0.59%
Holonomy’s Short Strangles -1.32%
Bazaar Short Strangle Overnight -1.30%
Market-Pulse Short Strangle Overnight -2.24%
Intraday Short Strangle -2.47%

Short strangles were mixed.

Rising VIX reduced clean decay.
Only tighter, more reactive models held ground.


:purple_circle: Short Straddle Performance

Strategy Weekly Return
Single Lattice Straddle +5.58%
Single Tightgrip Straddle +4.95%
Single Kurtosis Straddle +1.91%
Lattice Short Straddles +0.12%
Quiet Short Straddle -0.67%
Single Rangetrap Straddle -3.44%

:pushpin: Straddles handled volatility better than expected this week.


:red_circle: Options & Directional Systems

Strategy Weekly Return
SkewHunter +18.78% :fire:
SkewHunter TSL +18.55% :fire:
Burst RR 1:2 (25% SL) +3.80%
Burst GRID (30% SL) +3.12%
Vacuum GRID (35% SL) -3.72%
Fixed RR 1:3 (30% SL) -20.01%
Index Sniper -13.88%
Index Scalper -17.48%

This week rewarded:
• Selective directional precision
• Momentum-aware systems

But punished:
• High RR rigid entries
• Poorly timed breakouts


:yellow_circle: Index Strategies

Strategy Weekly Return
Stratzy’s Index Strategies +0.55%

Broad index exposure remained relatively stable compared to structured options.


  • Nifty drifted lower

  • Bank Nifty lost strength

  • VIX expanded to 14+

  • Credit spreads faced stress

  • Select directional systems outperformed

  • Regime clearly shifting toward higher volatility


If someone was concentrated in volatility-sensitive spreads — it was painful.

If someone held adaptive spreads + selective directional exposure — damage was controlled.

Portfolio construction > single strategy conviction.


With VIX now above 14:

  • Are you reducing short volatility exposure?

  • Are you adjusting position sizing?

  • Are you ready for further expansion?

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