๐Ÿ“Š Nifty Expiry Week Algo Performance (7th Jan โ€“ 13th Jan 2026)

Last expiry-week
Period:
7th Jan โ€“ 13th Jan 2026

This expiry week was very different from the previous one.
While volatility picked up slightly, directional strength increased, creating a mixed environment where some aggressive systems thrived while others struggled.


:compass: Market Snapshot

Index Range
Nifty 50 25,730 โ€“ 26,140
Bank Nifty 59,580 โ€“ 60,040
India VIX 10.00 โ€“ 11.20

:backhand_index_pointing_right: Overall impact:
Moderate VIX expansion with directional moves helped directional and momentum-based systems, while range-dependent sellers pressure.


:blue_circle: Credit Spread Strategies (Directional + Defined Risk)

Credit spreads continued to show strong adaptability, especially those aligned with direction and volatility structure.

Strategy Expiry Week P&L
Curvature Credit Spread Overnight +2.93%
IV-Imbalance Credit Spread Overnight +10.35%
Mathematicianโ€™s Credit Spread Overnight +2.93%
Zen Credit Spread Overnight +21.18%
Damper Credit Spread +1.04%
Convex Credit Spread Overnight -5.21%
Chain-Sync Credit Spread Overnight +2.36%
V-Score Credit Spread Overnight +10.65%
Hamiltonโ€™s Credit Spread +3.73%
Drifting Credit Spread Overnight -4.55%
Super Entropy Credits +3.46%
Theta-Harvest Credit Spread Expiry -0.21%
Vega-Shift Credit Spread Expiry -16.89%
Rolling-Carry Credit Spread (Exit-Early) +5.45%
Delta-Leverage Credit Spread Overnight -4.44%
Theta-Flux Credit Spread Overnight +5.89%
Gamma-Fluxer Credit Spread Overnight +6.50%
Delta-Rotation Credit Spread Expiry +9.08%
Ratio-Return Credit Spread (Exit-Early) -6.97%

When direction aligns, credit spreads can capture upside while still limiting downside, reinforcing why they remain a core portfolio component.


:orange_circle: Short Strangle Strategies

Directional movement and rising VIX made this a challenging week for strangles.

Strategy Expiry Week P&L
Expiry Short Strangle -0.48%
Holonomyโ€™s Short Strangle -3.41%
Carry Forward Strangle +0.18%
Premium-Zone Strangle -0.95%
Intraday Short Strangle -1.46%
Flux Strangle -2.98%
Compressed Strangle -1.93%
Theta-Zone Strangle +0.52%

:backhand_index_pointing_right: Observation:
Strangles struggled as price expanded directionally instead of consolidating.


:purple_circle: Short Straddle & Index Strategies

Strategy Expiry Week P&L
Single Rangetrap Straddle -7.82%
Single Lattice Straddle -1.55%
Quiet Short Straddle -4.30%
Single Kurtosis Straddle -3.21%
Lattice Short Straddles -0.03%
Single Tightgrip Straddle -1.09%
Stratzyโ€™s Index Strategies +0.87%

Directional expansion reduced effectiveness of short gamma strategies.


:red_circle: Directional & Aggressive Option Systems

This week clearly showed that when direction is strong, aggressive systems can outperform โ€” but with higher dispersion.

Strategy Expiry Week P&L
Fixed RR 1:3 (30% SL) -0.88%
SkewHunter +33.47%
Index Sniper -13.02%
SkewHunter TSL +34.10%
Index Scalper -34.84%
Vacuum GRID (35% SL) -3.14%
Burst RR 1:2 (25% SL) +33.72%
Burst GRID (30% SL) +37.35%

High returns came with high variance โ€” emphasizing the need for controlled allocation.


:puzzle_piece: Where Alpha Portfolio Fits

Weeks like this highlight the role of Stratzy Alpha Portfolio.

Instead of chasing whichever strategy worked:

  • Alpha Portfolio balances defined-risk spreads + selective directional systems

  • Limits overexposure to extreme outcomes

  • Focuses on portfolio-level consistency

:backhand_index_pointing_right: Strong weeks from aggressive systems are captured without depending on them entirely.


:star: Highlights

  • Directional movement dominated market behavior.

  • Credit spreads benefited from directional alignment.

  • Strangles & straddles struggled due to lack of consolidation.

  • Aggressive systems delivered outsized returns โ€” with higher risk.

  • Portfolio diversification remained critical.


The goal is not to predict which strategy will shine โ€”
but to build a structure that survives all regimes.

Thatโ€™s why at Stratzy, we focus on:

  • Risk definition

  • Strategy diversification

  • Portfolio thinking over individual wins

Weโ€™ll continue sharing transparent expiry-week data, exactly as it is โ€” because learning comes from clarity, not perfection.


This expiry favored directional aggression.
Would you increase exposure to such systems โ€” or stick with defined-risk portfolios?

For those who traded options, which strike worked best?

Hi Themk,

Selection of strike depends on the kind of algo you pick. But usually rolling ATM strikes have the highest activity and liquidity so many algos work on ATM strikes or nearby ones.

Hope this helps!